Blueprint Digital NHS WalesSystem TrapsDrift to Low Performance
System Trap 2

Drift to Low Performance

Standards erode as poor performance becomes the baseline.

Trap2 of 7
Severityvery-active
DefinitionStandards erode as poor performance becomes the baseline.
LoopsL6, L4, L7

Standards at DHCW have drifted past inefficient, through wasteful, to dangerous. WCCG runs on technology unsupported for 8+ years; PSBA-class shared infrastructure took O365, EPMA, RISP, and radiology offline simultaneously across NHS Wales in March 2026. Each new low becomes the new baseline against which 'acceptable' is measured. The drift is invisible to those inside it because every quarterly comparison is against the previous quarter, not against what a functioning national health-IT body should look like.

What is the drift-to-low-performance trap at DHCW?

Drift to Low Performance occurs when an organisation gradually accepts worse outcomes as normal. The performance target drifts downward to meet actual performance, rather than actual performance being raised to meet the target. Each year’s failure becomes next year’s baseline.

How It Manifests at DHCW

The trajectory is in the numbers. WCCIS — over £42M, eleven years — reached nineteen of twenty-nine target organisations, was called “live,” then quietly rebranded “Connecting Care.” Eye care is more than four years late, live in two health boards of seven; the communications gateway GPs rely on has run unsupported by its vendor for more than eight years. The flagship patient app has hundreds of thousands of registrations and, in the words of NHS Wales’s deputy chief executive, “there’s hardly anybody in the population who are registered and are using the app regularly” — a programme he called “mired in delay, non-delivery… people are clearly not adopting it.” And the organisation cannot say what any of it returned: “we don’t have an ROI on all of our investments,” the chief executive conceded; the finance director could point only to £0.5M of non-cash time-savings against roughly £600M, and, asked whether even that was real money, answered “is that cash on the [line]? No, it’s not.”

Beneath inefficiency sits the floor that matters: harm. The clearest evidence is on the public record. The clinical lead for the national bowel-cancer screening programme told the Senedd that changes to its information system were requested “10 years ago, and that still hasn’t happened.” The Royal Colleges of Physicians and GPs in Wales put it in a joint briefing: “GPs and physicians working in Wales regularly see examples of patients experiencing delays to their assessment and treatment leading to deterioration or worsening health when they move between systems,” naming the cause as “IT systems that don’t talk to each other.” DHCW’s own patient index has mixed up patient records in operational use. The independent record already sets the floor — a decade-old safety fix never delivered, and the clinicians’ own colleges describing deterioration as routine.

The structural floor is now system-wide. For three consecutive years DHCW’s core infrastructure has failed the same way. In July 2024 a cooling-failover fault took 32 services offline for about six hours; in June 2025 the near-identical fault recurred — the operations director told the board “we did have another incident like this last year,” and the chief executive called it “this should really be a never event,” both remarks then erased from the published minutes. In March 2026 the failure moved up a layer: the shared PSBA network went down across every NHS Wales organisation at once — “for a period of time there was no internet access from any organisation in NHS Wales… Office 365, EPMA… the radiology services… all impacted,” detected at 5pm and unresolved until nearly two the next morning. None of it surprised the board’s most technical independent member, who had already named “a repeating pattern… plenty of time to realise a system is coming to end of life… and yet we are finding ourselves… with uncertainty of funding.” The cancer system she meant had held the highest score on the corporate risk register, unchanged, from DHCW’s founding to its replacement — while the executive medical director asked aloud, “for 30 years I’ve been using CANISC… how is it that the system tolerated the legacy software for so long?”

The same drift runs through the workforce. The 2024 staff survey found 65% of staff frustrated or burnt out — a figure stripped from the published minutes; a year later it had risen by a further 3.9 points, to roughly 69%, and that increase was stripped too. Long-term sickness rose 59%, total days lost climbed from 8,684 to 15,846 — an 82% rise against 30% headcount growth — and the annual report named stress and anxiety as the leading cause. Each year’s harm becomes the next year’s baseline; the workforce condition this produces is the structural inverse of what digital delivery requires.

The standard has drifted past “inefficient,” through “wasteful,” to “dangerous” — and at each step the new low became the line against which the next year was judged.

Produced By

L6: The Manufactured Narrative — internal perception of success prevents recognition of declining standards. L4: The Rebranding Escape — rebranding failed programmes avoids the honest assessment that would anchor standards. L7: The Competence Void — leaders without technology delivery experience cannot recognise when standards are slipping.

How is the drift-to-low-performance trap broken?

Anchor to patient safety outcomes, not programme milestones. The Royal Colleges’ December 2025 joint briefing provides the external benchmark — an authoritative, independent assessment that cannot be managed or rebranded. But anchoring requires leaders who accept the benchmark. Current leadership’s response to every external benchmark has been to manage the narrative, not match the standard.

The blueprint’s Intervention 2: Radical Transparency targets this trap directly – public, real-time dashboards anchored to patient outcomes make it impossible for performance standards to drift unnoticed.