Blueprint Digital NHS WalesSystem TrapsDrift to Low Performance
System Trap 2

Drift to Low Performance

Standards erode as poor performance becomes the baseline.

Trap2 of 7
Severityvery-active
DefinitionStandards erode as poor performance becomes the baseline.
LoopsL6, L4, L7

Standards at DHCW have drifted past inefficient, through wasteful, to dangerous. WPAS is linked to at least one patient death; WCCG runs on technology unsupported for 8+ years; PSBA-class shared infrastructure took O365, EPMA, RISP, and radiology offline simultaneously across NHS Wales in March 2026. Each new low becomes the new baseline against which 'acceptable' is measured. The drift is invisible to those inside it because every quarterly comparison is against the previous quarter, not against what a functioning national health-IT body should look like.

What is the drift-to-low-performance trap at DHCW?

Drift to Low Performance occurs when an organisation gradually accepts worse outcomes as normal. The performance target drifts downward to meet actual performance, rather than actual performance being raised to meet the target. Each year’s failure becomes next year’s baseline.

How It Manifests at DHCW

The trajectory is visible in the data:

  • WCCIS: £42M+ spent, deployed to only 19 of 29 target organisations, called “live,” then abandoned and rebranded to “Connecting Care”
  • OpenEyes: £8.5M, 4+ years late, live in only 2 health boards
  • NHS Wales App: ~345,000 registered users, but the Deputy CEO of NHS Wales admitted “hardly anybody is using it regularly”
  • The CEO admitted: “We don’t have an ROI on all of our investments”
  • The Finance Director of the Year (2022 award) could cite only £0.5M in non-cash time savings from ~£600M of Welsh Government funding by January 2026 — 83p of delivered value for every £1,000 invested

The drift now has a floor: patient harm. WPAS has been linked to at least one patient death. eMPI mixed up patient records. WCCG ran on unsupported technology for 8+ years despite repeated technical staff warnings. The Royal Colleges stated that patients “regularly experience delays that lead to worsening health.”

The drift is also visible in what is being measured. By July 2025, only 42% of IMRP milestones were on track. The CANISC cancer information system carried the highest risk score on the corporate risk register (score 20) from DHCW’s founding through to replacement — every year, the same score, no movement. Rowan Gardner, the board’s sharpest governance challenger before her departure, identified “a repeating pattern of end-of-life systems without replacement funding”: a structural feature of the portfolio, not an anomaly. In March 2026, the consequence was visible to every NHS Wales clinician simultaneously: the PSBA network failed across all NHS Wales organisations, taking O365, EPMA, RISP, and radiology offline at once. The drift floor is no longer one programme producing one harmed patient. It is a single shared infrastructure failure producing simultaneous loss of digital service across the system.

The March 2026 outage was the third consecutive year of major infrastructure failure. In July 2024, a false fire alarm at DHCW’s data centre triggered a cooling failover that did not work; equipment overheated and powered itself off; 32 services were affected for approximately six hours; three SLAs were breached. The board received it as an amber KPI dip. In June 2025, a near-identical failure recurred. Sam Lloyd, Executive Director of Operations, told the board: “we did have another incident like this last year.” The CEO, Helen Thomas, said the recurrence “should really be a never event in terms of the level of data centres that we commission… so this is a never event and it will never happen again.” Both statements were erased from the published minutes. Twelve months later, the PSBA layer failed across all of NHS Wales. Three years; the same downstream signature — national clinical infrastructure offline for hours at a time. The “never event” formulation is itself the diagnostic: it is the strongest available patient-safety language, deployed by the CEO, then removed from the public record. See DHCW Data Centre for the full chronology.

The drift is measurable in the staff record too. The 2024 staff survey recorded 65% of staff frustrated or burnt out and 58% reporting significant workload pressure; the 65% figure was stripped from the published minutes. Twelve months later, burnout had risen to 68.9% — and that year-on-year increase was also stripped. Across the same period, long-term sickness rose 59%, total days lost rose from 8,684 in 2021-22 to 15,846 in 2024-25 (an 82% increase against 30% headcount growth), and the Annual Report named stress and anxiety as the leading cause. The drift in human cost matches the drift in delivery: each year’s harm becomes next year’s baseline. The structural reading — that the workforce condition this produces is the inverse of what successful digital delivery requires — is at Psychological Safety.

The performance standard has drifted past “inefficient” through “wasteful” to “dangerous.”

Produced By

L6: The Manufactured Narrative — internal perception of success prevents recognition of declining standards. L4: The Rebranding Escape — rebranding failed programmes avoids the honest assessment that would anchor standards. L7: The Competence Void — leaders without technology delivery experience cannot recognise when standards are slipping.

How is the drift-to-low-performance trap broken?

Anchor to patient safety outcomes, not programme milestones. The Royal Colleges’ July 2025 joint briefing provides the external benchmark — an authoritative, independent assessment that cannot be managed or rebranded. But anchoring requires leaders who accept the benchmark. Current leadership’s response to every external benchmark has been to manage the narrative, not match the standard.

The blueprint’s Intervention 2: Radical Transparency targets this trap directly – public, real-time dashboards anchored to patient outcomes make it impossible for performance standards to drift unnoticed.